From
housing bubble to foreclosure crisis to somewhere in between, the
housing market has changed dramatically over the past decade -- and
so have many of the rules of home buying.
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Here
are five once commonly believed myths that no longer apply.
If
the housing bust taught us anything, it's that the housing market can
be just as risky as the stock
market--
if not, worse. Homes lost a third of their value nationwide and
some markets took an even bigger hit.
Over
the past 10 years, home prices have risen just 0.3% annually, while
the S&P 500 has returned an average of 8.26%. There are, of
course, other factors that can eat even further into those returns,
such as maintenance. Have to repair the leaky roof? That will be
$500. Need a new water heater? That's another grand.
Myth
#2: Buying is always better than renting
Now
that the housing recovery has taken hold, some markets have become
way too expensive for homebuyers. One quick way to figure out whether
to buy or not: If the home costs more than
15 times the annual cost of renting a similar home, you're better off
renting.
In
Manhattan, for example, the
average cost of buying
a house is
about 24 times the average cost of renting one. Some other factors to
consider: What would that 20% downpayment have fetched if it was
invested in stocks or bonds (recall
those returns for the S&P 500 we talked about before)? And beyond
maintenance and repairs, what will the extra costs of owning the home
include?
For
most people, the decision comes down to the number of the years they
plan to stay in the home. If you think you can stay put for five
years or more then it might be worth taking the plunge. The timeline
is longer in expensive markets like Manhattan, where it would take
nearly 10 years before buying becomes a better deal than renting.
Myth
#3: The three most important factors are location, location,
location.
Finding
the perfect home used to mean that it had to be in a well-established
community with low crime, good schools and far from annoyances like
airports or heavily used roads. But these days some of the best deals
are found in neighborhoods that have yet to reach their peak.
"There
should be more emphasis on the future outlook for a location, on what
is the upside," said Jonathan Miller, president of Miller
Samuel, a real
estate appraisal
company.
He
said it's better to keep an eye on a location's potential for growth
-- and value.
Myth
#4: Buy the worst home in the best neighborhood.
The
advice seems sound: You can fix up
a bad home but you can't clean up a whole neighborhood. Those bad
homes, though, can come with some pretty huge flaws.
"Every
home you buy should have an engineer's report because it could become
a moneypit,"
said Michael Morris of Coldwell Banker M&D in Moriches, NY.
Few
Americans have the skills to do the work themselves -- or the money
to hire someone to do it for them, he said.
In
the end, you may end up paying more on that fixer-upper than if you
had bought a home in better condition in a up and coming
neighborhood.
Myth
#5: All real estate is local.
It
wasn't too long ago that the way to make profits in real estate was
to study the local market inside and out. Local conditions, such as
wages, unemployment and
population growth, would
dictate the direction of local home prices.
Not
anymore.
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"Real
estate is much more of a global phenomenon today," said Dottie
Herman, CEO of Prudential Douglas Elliman, one of New York's biggest
brokers. "The Internet and social media age has drastically
altered [the] business."
International
buyers accounted for about 7% of all U.S. home purchases during the
12 months ended March 31, while investors accounted for 20% of
sales. And
many of these buyers are paying
in all-cash,
driving prices sky-high.
In
some markets, like New York, Los Angeles and Miami, this phenomenon
is particularly profound.
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